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Government Budget Cuts by Elon Musk Struggle as US Federal Spending Reaches Record High

Musk in Doge t-shirt with US Treasury and Doge logos

© FT montage/Getty Images

According to recently published Treasury data, Elon Musk’s budget cuts have not been able to stop the inexorable increase in US federal spending, which peaked last month at $603 billion. Though Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency makes audacious claims about cutting unnecessary expenses, the figures show that significant savings remain elusive.

Musk’s Cost-Cutting Programmes Under Review

Musk’s so-called efficiency drive was supposed to bring savings of more than $100 billion. Only a few government agencies, though, claimed any cut in their budgets. Actually, federal spending rose by $40 billion over the same period last year—a 7% increase—which begs questions regarding whether Musk’s strategies can really help to control government expenditure.

From the State and Health Departments to different branches of the Treasury, Musk and his team—including Doge-based operatives—have entered several important government agencies since the start of the initiative. Thousands of contracts have been canceled, and job suspensions resulted from this as well. Still, the expected public sector savings are mostly invisible in monthly expenditure reports despite these extreme policies. Elon Musk’s budget cuts

Little Affect on Principal Budget Categories

With a long-term target of $1 trillion in cuts from the annual federal budget, Musk has repeatedly claimed that Doge is spotting cost-saving opportunities at a startling rate of $4 billion every day. The most recent Treasury report, however, indicates that notable cuts are still rare.

Among the few noteworthy cuts in expenditure, the Department of Education managed to cut its budget by $6 billion. Under Marco Rubio’s direction, the State Department cut funding for the US Agency for International Development, reducing its monthly outlay from $547 million to $226 million. The basic budget of the department also slightly dropped from $1.7 billion to $1.6 billion.

Still, these savings pale in relation to the growing expenses in other sectors. A modest 3% increase in federal deficit added an extra $5 billion to federal expenditures; a 6% increase in Social Security outlays added another $8 billion.

Tax Credits and Debt Servicing Help to Drive Expenditure Higher

A major factor fueling the federal spending explosion was a clear rise in Treasury direct spending. According to the most recent estimate, departmental spending surged by $29 billion over last year. A big share of this increase—$10 billion—was ascribed to a rise in monthly debt servicing, which came to an amazing $86 billion. Furthermore, tax credits and related payments, which jumped $14 billion, drove inflation in the whole budget.

Read more about the US Treasury’s latest budget report

Expert in economic policy at the Manhattan Institute, Jessica Riedl, examined the matter and noted:

“None of which have been touched—some 75% of all federal spending goes towards Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, defense, veterans’ benefits, and interest payments. Not one hint suggests that such savings have been found.”

Musk’s Next Actions: Doubling Down on Cost Reduction Strategies

Musk is undeterred in the face of these obstacles. Monday, he revealed intentions to double Doge’s workforce and focus on more general expenditure categories, including Social Security, so strengthening its cost-cutting initiatives.

Still, political resistance is rather strong. The House of Representatives passed legislation extending government agency spending at current levels until the end of September just one day following Musk’s comment. The measure now passes to the Senate, where forward progress depends on bipartisan support.

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Former President Donald Trump has meanwhile limited Doge’s influence by warning Musk to apply cuts using a “scalpel” rather than a “hatchet.” Trump underlined the need for each agency to keep control over its personnel choices. His remarks responded to worries expressed by Republican legislators who claimed that the quick and extensive cuts were having unanticipated effects, such as rehiring staff for important national security initiatives.

Political and Legal Challenges Peak

Complicating matters further, federal judges have started intervening in some of Doge’s more aggressive activities. The Supreme Court maintained last week a decision mandating the Trump administration to distribute almost $2 billion in already allocated foreign aid money. This legal blow emphasizes the mounting resistance to Musk’s cost-cutting policies among advocacy groups and inside the government.

In Essence: Can Musk’s Vision Transcend Government Spending Reality?

The most recent Treasury statistics emphasize the great difficulty of lowering federal spending as Musk advances his bold government reform ideas. Although some departments have effectively cut their budgets, debt servicing, social security responsibilities, and rising healthcare costs drive general spending to keep rising.

The success of Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency remains uncertain. Will it meet its ambitious goals, or will entrenched bureaucratic interests and political resistance ultimately prevail?

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